Rassegna Stampa Elezioni Israeliane 2009

Monitoraggio attraverso i media internazionali delle elezioni in Israele del Febbraio 2009

The Region: A pretty solid team

Posted by Andrea Pompozzi su 6 aprile, 2009

Apr. 5, 2009
Barry Rubin , THE JERUSALEM POST

In the Israeli political game, there are some things too important to play with. Has Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu safeguarded the country’s security and foreign relations while meeting party and coalition needs, and what is the likely result of this new government’s policies internationally?

Netanyahu had to put together a complex web of parties and personalities to get a Knesset majority. The result is a cabinet with more ministers than Jerusalem has rabbis.

Yet equally impressive is that of the 30 ministers, almost half of them will deal with some element of national security or foreign policy. Is this a formula for chaos? Possibly.

Avigdor Lieberman as foreign minister seems a recipe for disaster. The main problem is not so much his views but the world’s perception in which he has replaced Netanyahu as the Western media’s favorite “extremist hawkish racist warmonger ultranationalist.” Funny, none of those terms are ever applied to Arab or Iranian leaders.

To some extent, this new demonized personality takes pressure off Netanyahu, who looks virtuous by comparison. Perhaps one day the world will even understand that he’s a centrist.

The second problem is Lieberman’s lack of experience – I refrain from making a comparison on this point with the current American president – and undiplomatic mien. The fact that his English is insufficient could be an advantage, as Foreign Ministry translators may sometimes be able to recast his words into safer form. He loves being controversial, not a good characteristic for a foreign minister.

Those who know say he can be intelligent and engaging in private. Yet he’s unlikely to be given a chance to show these traits. Or to put it another way, it may be a race between Lieberman and other leaders as to who can insult each other first.

But when opposition leader Tzipi Livni of Kadima says that Lieberman’s being foreign minister shows she was right not to join the government, we should remember that if she’d joined the government, Lieberman wouldn’t be foreign minister.

How has Netanyahu tried to cushion this problem? First, to a large extent, he’ll be his own foreign minister. He’s quite good at being articulate and charming.

The other factor, however, is that Lieberman will be guided – if he’s wise enough to listen – by one of the country’s most able diplomats, former ambassador to the United States Danny Ayalon, a member of Lieberman’s party, who will be deputy foreign minister. Ayalon’s interventions will be critical for Israel’s international policy and reputation.

AND LET’S not forget still another articulate and competent person who will be the closest thing to a hasbara minister: Yuli Edelstein (Likud). Formerly a courageous Soviet refusenik, he will be minister for Diaspora affairs and for national public relations plus chairman of the Israel Broadcasting Authority and the government’s international spokesman. Edelstein is poised to be a big success and represents about the highest government commitment in history to telling the country’s story and making its case abroad.

Equally remarkable is that, aside from this international affairs quartet, there are no fewer than seven individuals, three of them former high-ranking army officers, who will deal directly with strategic matters.

At their head, of course, is Defense Minister Ehud Barak, leader of the Labor Party, who is very professional. Whether or not he has made a great prime minister, he is someone who makes you feel more secure in that critical office.

As his deputy minister of defense, Barak has his fellow Labor Party member and former deputy chief of General Staff, Matan Vilna’i, another very capable man. Then there is a third general, former chief of General Staff Moshe Ya’alon of Likud who has strategic affairs, whatever that means.

Speaking about cabinet posts of unclear definition, there’s Yitzhak Aharonovitch (Israel Beiteinu), a former Border Police commander and deputy police inspectpr-general at Public Security and the hard-line but nice guy Uzi Landau (Israel Beiteinu) at National Infrastructures. Finally, there is moderate but nice guy Dan Meridor as minister-without-portfolio for intelligence agencies.

THERE ARE TWO WAYS to look at all this. One is that there are too many people who will be scrabbling for turf. The other way is that Netanyahu will have a general staff with some very talented people to use as his advisers and to give them special tasks.

The truth is that while there’s unused additional talent in Labor, Kadima’s participation in the coalition – which I’d personally prefer – wouldn’t exactly bring in great talents. Livni would be preferable to Lieberman at the Foreign Ministry but is not exactly another Henry Kissinger. She’s never achieved a single success in any area of diplomacy. Shaul Mofaz is capable but no better than the three other former generals already in this cabinet. Nachman Shai would be a good spokesman. And that’s about it for Kadima.

As a whole, this is a pretty moderate foreign affairs and security cabinet with a lot of experience and professionalism. Except for the potential Lieberman time bomb – and that’s a big potential problem for sure – it is a solid team.

And except for Uzi Landau, this group is hardly hard-line, especially compared to past cabinets under Likud prime ministers. Does this security-foreign affairs cabinet support a two-state solution? Overwhelmingly, yes. It first wants to make sure – quite a reasonable demand – that the Palestinians accept such an outcome, which is far from clear.

Now if Lieberman can only resist the temptation to indulge his appetite for mischief, some good may come of this government.

http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?cid=1238562915689&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FPrinter

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