Rassegna Stampa Elezioni Israeliane 2009

Monitoraggio attraverso i media internazionali delle elezioni in Israele del Febbraio 2009

Posts Tagged ‘Sondaggi’

Poll: Likud slips, but on course for narrow win

Posted by Andrea Pompozzi su 6 febbraio, 2009

Feb. 6, 2009
Gil Hoffman , THE JERUSALEM POST

The Likud will win an unexpectedly close race but the right-wing bloc will easily defeat the Left, according to a consensus of polls taken ahead of Friday, the last date polls can be published before Tuesday’s election.

A Jerusalem Post/Smith Research poll found that the Right would win some 65 seats, led by the Likud’s 26 and Israel Beiteinu’s 17-18. The Left would win some 55 seats, led by Kadima’s 23 and Labor’s 14. Leggi il seguito di questo post »

Posted in Kadima, Labour e Sinistra israeliana, Likud, Partiti etnici & Ortodossi | Contrassegnato da tag: , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Resurgent right dashes peace hopes as Mitchell flies to Israel

Posted by valentinabalzati su 27 gennaio, 2009

Polls predict election triumph for Netanyahu as Gaza war whips up jingoism

Patrick Cockburn,   The Independent

Barack Obama’s new Middle East peace envoy, George Mitchell, arrives in Israel tomorrow charged with working towards an Israeli-Palestinian peace agreement. But the expected victory of the right in the Israeli election on 10 February may doom his efforts from the outset.

Benjamin Netanyahu, who did much to bury the Oslo peace accords when he was last prime minister in 1996-99, will almost inevitably be the next prime minister, according to the latest opinion polls. His right-wing Likud party is likely to be the largest party, and the right-wing bloc of extreme religious and nationalist parties is likely to have a majority in the Israeli parliament. Mr Netanyahu would probably have won without the war in Gaza, but the conflict has shifted Israelis significantly to the right. “Prior to the war there was already disillusionment with negotiations and the peace process,” says Galia Golan, political science professor at the Interdisciplinary Centre at Herzliya, near Tel Aviv. “Patriotism and nationalism were whipped up as never before by the media who treated the war as if it was one of the wars when we were really under attack.” Leggi il seguito di questo post »

Posted in La scena Politica Israeliana, Likud, Partiti etnici & Ortodossi, Usa/Israele | Contrassegnato da tag: , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

I partiti della guerra a picco nei sondaggi

Posted by Folco Zaffalon su 23 gennaio, 2009

di Michele Giorgio – GERUSALEMME – Il Manifesto

Centinaia di palestinesi si riversano a Rafah e iniziano a rimettere su i tunnel che collegano la Striscia all’Egitto. La Livni: li colpiremo ancora. Hamas: investiremo migliaia di euro nella ricostruzione. Il fallimento dell’offensiva può terremotare il voto del 10 febbraio, regalando la vittoria ai partiti ultra nazionalisti
Litigiosi, insoddisfatti, increduli di fronte alla sconfitta elettorale che con ogni probabilità li attende il 10 febbraio. Appaiono così i membri della «trojka» israeliana – il premier Olmert, il ministro della difesa Barak e il ministro degli esteri Livni – dopo la pubblicazione degli ultimi sondaggi d’opinione. Leggi il seguito di questo post »

Posted in Kadima, La scena Politica Israeliana, Labour e Sinistra israeliana, Likud | Contrassegnato da tag: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Likud leading election polls with 29 seats, in wake of Gaza operation

Posted by valentinabalzati su 18 gennaio, 2009

Haaretz

The first poll conducted about Israel’s upcoming parliamentary elections since the end of the offensive in Gaza show Likud as the front-runner with 29 seats.

The Channel 10-Dialog poll supervised by Professor Camil Fuchs of Tel Aviv University predicted Kadima would win 26 seats and the Labor Party getting 14 seats, the same number as Yisrael Beiteinu.

Though surveys on Sunday predicted center-left Labor would win 14 or 15 of the 120 seats in parliament – almost double that previously forecast – former Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s right-wing Likud party was still in the lead.


A similar poll conducted by Channel 2 has Likud set to win as many as 31 seats, with Kadima party taking between 23 and 26, with the February 9 elections just about three weeks away.

The party that captures the largest number of seats is usually tapped to try to put together a government.

Kadima’s popularity has been hit by public discontent over the 2005 Gaza pullout it led and corruption scandals that forced Ehud Olmert to resign as the party’s leader and prime minister.

Olmert has been serving as caretaker prime minister until a new government is formed after next month’s election.

Israeli public support for the offensive, launched on Dec. 27 to counter Palestinian rocket attacks from Gaza, has been strong, though Hamas continued with its salvoes during the air and ground operation.

“It’s not enough to make Barak prime minister, but it almost guarantees him a top spot in the next government,” said political scientist Hani Zubida of Israel’s Interdisciplinary Centre.

Netanyahu has been a favorite in polls since Israel’s
2006 Lebanon war against Hezbollah guerrillas, a conflict widely regarded in Israel as a failure.

Answering what he described as an appeal from Olmert,
Netanyahu gave numerous interviews during the Gaza war to foreign media as part of a campaign to counter international criticism of Israeli attacks that caused civilian casualties.

Like other political leaders, he suspended campaigning during the conflict and said nothing in criticism of the way it was conducted.

“Bibi played his cards right. The Gaza offensive was the last thing he wanted before the elections, but he stayed quiet and handled it well,” Zubida said.

Much could depend on the public perception in Israel over whether the Gaza campaign has achieved its goals.

Continued Hamas rocket fire or failure to stop the Islamist group from rearming could bite into Barak’s newfound popularity, political commentators said.

Livni’s chances to become prime minister could depend on whether the international diplomatic support she secured for efforts to halt weapons smuggling to Hamas chokes off supply.

http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1056541.html

Posted in Kadima, La scena Politica Israeliana, Labour e Sinistra israeliana, Likud, Partiti etnici & Ortodossi | Contrassegnato da tag: , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Israel divided as deaths top 1,000

Posted by Alessandro Accorsi su 15 gennaio, 2009

Vita Bekker Foreign Correspondent

The National – UAE

TEL AVIV // As Israel’s military assault in the Gaza Strip enters the 20th day and its national elections are fast approaching, divisions appear to be sharpening among its top leaders.
Leggi il seguito di questo post »

Posted in Varie | Contrassegnato da tag: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

La guerra piace: contro l’offensiva soltanto il 4% degli ebrei d’Israele

Posted by Folco Zaffalon su 10 gennaio, 2009

SONDAGGIO DEL MAARIV

Un’opposizione alla guerra quasi inconsistente. Il giornale israeliano Maariv ha pubblicato ieri un sondaggio secondo il quale solo il 4% della popolazione ebraica di Israele sarebbe contraria alle operazioni militari a Gaza. Il 91% ha invece espresso il proprio appoggio- ma i dati subiscono quasi un rovesciamento se ci si rivolge al 20% di abitanti arabi in Israele. La retorica del governo Olmert-Livni-Barak sembra dunque aver fatto presa sui cittadini israeliani, che reputano l’assedio di Gaza una «risposta adeguata» al lancio di razzi Qassam da parte dei militanti di Hamas. Leggi il seguito di questo post »

Posted in Kadima, La scena Politica Israeliana, Varie | Contrassegnato da tag: , | 1 Comment »

Gaza War Role Is Political Lift for Ex-Premier

Posted by gaetanoditommaso su 8 gennaio, 2009

JERUSALEM — A few weeks ago, Defense Minister Ehud Barak was considered a dead man walking in Israeli politics. Members of his Labor Party were plotting to replace him after elections on Feb. 10, if not before. Under his leadership, the storied party of David Ben-Gurion and Golda Meir had sunk so low in the polls that there was serious talk it might disappear.

No one is talking like that now. Twelve days into a punishing war that he is leading against Hamas in Gaza, Labor’s poll numbers are spiking. Mr. Barak is everywhere, in sunglasses and leather jacket, striding among his military commanders, talking strategy, calculating the next move.

“The respect I get when I go into schools since the war is amazing, and it is all about Barak,” remarked Daniel Ben-Simon, a Labor Party candidate for Parliament. “Israel’s MacArthur is back.” Leggi il seguito di questo post »

Posted in La scena Politica Israeliana, Labour e Sinistra israeliana | Contrassegnato da tag: , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

‘Post’ poll: War boosting Likud, Labor

Posted by Andrea Pompozzi su 2 gennaio, 2009

Jan. 2, 2009
Gil Hoffman , THE JERUSALEM POST

Both Likud and Labor have received a boost, while Kadima has floundered, according to a Smith Research poll taken for The Jerusalem Post this week amid Operation Cast Lead in the Gaza Strip.

The survey found that the Likud had risen from 27 seats to 29, Labor had gone up from 14 to 15, and Kadima had fallen from 27 to 23 since the previous Post poll was published on October 31. Likud and Kadima, which were tied then, are now six seats apart, and the Right bloc’s advantage over the Left remains a hefty eight mandates, 64 to 56. Leggi il seguito di questo post »

Posted in Kadima, La scena Politica Israeliana, Labour e Sinistra israeliana, Likud | Contrassegnato da tag: , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Poll: Most Israelis support continuing Gaza military op

Posted by giacomofinzi su 1 gennaio, 2009

da:Haaretz http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/spages/1051852.htm

Labor and its head, Defense Minister Ehud Barak, have made significant gains, bringing the left-wing to a 60:60 draw against right-wing and ultra-Orthodox parties. 

Just a week ago, before the offensive, the poll gave the right bloc 65 MKs and the left 53 plus two for the Pensioners. While Likud actually gained support in the past week, it came at the expense of other right-wing parties. 

Labor, on the other hand, is mostly pulling votes away from parties such as the Pensioners, Meretz and the various environmentalist parties. 

According to the survey, conducted Wednesday under the supervision of Professor Camil Fuchs of Tel Aviv University, if the Knesset elections were to be held today both of the main blocs would find it hard to form a government unless one of the parties were to defect to the rival side. 

Just five days into the war, though, Israeli casualties have been minimal and there is an overall sense that the operation is a military success. 

Experience teaches that the poll numbers could change very quickly with any complication in the fighting. During the first week of the Second Lebanon War, Prime Minister Ehud Olmert and then defense minister Amir Peretz enjoyed unprecedented popularity ratings of 75 percent and 80 percent, respectively. Two months later those ratings fell by about 90 percent. 

As expected, Barak and Labor are the main beneficiaries of the war, for now. The latest poll has added 5 Knesset seats to Labor. Likud and Kadima gained two and one MK, respectively. 

At this stage the war bodes well for the three leading parties. Most of the public reportedly believes that in time of war it’s best to vote for parties whose candidates are experienced, such as former chiefs of staff, prime ministers and defense and foreign ministers. 

Barak’s personal fortunes improved sharply, with 53 percent of poll respondents expressing satisfaction with his performance (compared to just 34 percent about six months ago). A larger number, 38 percent, are dissatisfied with him but that is nevertheless a significant improvement over the 52 percent disapproval rating of six months ago. 

Olmert, too, has gotten a popularity boost, with a 33 percent popularity rating this week compared to an average of 14 percent since the Second Lebanon War, about two and a half years ago. 

Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni and opposition leader Benjamin Netanyahu are also getting good grades from the public for their performances in recent days.


 

A decisive majority of respondents support continuing the army’s air campaign against Hamas targets in the Gaza Strip without endangering the lives of Israel Defense Forces soldiers in a ground offensive, according to a Haaretz-Dialog public opinion poll. 

Only about 20 percent of respondents support expanding the operation into a ground campaign – about the same proportion that supports an immediate cease-fire. According to the survey, 52 percent of Israelis favor continuing the air assault against Hamas targets in the Gaza Strip, though just 19 percent say the Israel Defense Forces should launch an extensive ground incursion. In contrast, 19 percent of respondents say the government should negotiate a cease-fire as soon as possible. Nine percent say they had no opinion or refused to answer. he Labor Party has emerged the biggest political winner of the war against Hamas so far, according to the poll. 

T

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Hamas insider killed in Israeli strike on Gaza

Posted by claudiacampli su 1 gennaio, 2009

Times

The Israeli assault on the Gaza Strip today claimed a significant blow against the top ranks of Hamas when an air strike killed Nizar Rayyan, one of the movement’s inner circle.

Mr Rayyan, one of Hamas’s most hardline political figures who had advocated renewing suicide bombings inside Israel, died in a targeted strike on his home. He is the most senior Hamas leader to have been killed since 2004, and only yesterday vowed that rocket attacks from Gaza would hit Israel “even deeper” than they have so far. Leggi il seguito di questo post »

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